NFL 2022/23 Futures Betting & Tips Preview
The Buffalo Bills are the favourites to win Super Bowl LVII after making ambitious moves to bolster their roster this offseason.
Buffalo went for broke by handing veteran linebacker Von Miller a six-year contract worth US$120 million. He powered the Los Angeles Rams to Super Bowl glory in February, and the Bills hierarchy hope he can repeat the feat in Western New York.
However, the Bills face fierce competition from elite teams such as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Kansas City Chiefs, Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers. It promises to be another fascinating season of gridiron action. Read on to learn more about the exciting NFL futures markets at your disposal.
Super Bowl LVII Winner
We make the Buffalo Bills the $6.00 favourites to win the Super Bowl in February 2023. They suffered a brutal overtime defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs in the divisional round playoff game last season, but Buffalo responded with some aggressive offseason moves.
Stefon Diggs was down to a $104 million extension, Rodger Saffold, Tim Settle and DaQuon Jones arrived, Kaiir Elam and James Cook were signed in the NFL Draft and Miller, the 33-year-old linebacker, was handed an enormous contract.
The Buccaneers are the second favourites at $8.50 after Tom Brady reversed his retirement decision. The Chiefs lost star wide receiver Tyreek Hill in the offseason, but they added some interesting offensive pieces, and they are next in the betting at $9.00.
The Rams are priced at $11.00 to win back-to-back Super Bowls, the Chargers are next in the betting at $13.00 and the Packers are $14.00. You will find lots of interesting long-shots too, such as reigning AFC champions Cincinnati Bengals at $20.00 and the Baltimore Ravens at $22.00.
AFC Winner
The Cincinnati Bengals defied huge preseason odds when they were crowned AFC champions last season. Young QB Joe Burrow went on a tear in the playoffs, and he led Cincy to a shock overtime victory over the Chiefs in the conference championship game.
The Bills are the $4.30 favourites to win the AFC this time around, ahead of the Chiefs. The Denver Broncos and the Chargers are next in the betting at $8.50. Denver pulled off a significant coup by signing former Seahawks QB Russell Wilson, which should improve their offensive capabilities.
The Bengals are next on the list, neck-and-neck with the Ravens at $11.00. Baltimore suffered an injury crisis last season, but the Ravens could be very dangerous this time around if key players remain fit and healthy.
NFC Winner
The Bucs are the $3.75 favourites for the NFC crown following Brady’s dramatic decision to reverse his retirement plans. He led Tampa Bay to Super Bowl glory in February 2021, and he then came within a whisker of leading them to a comeback win against the Rams in last season’s playoffs.
They have the most complete roster in the NFC, but danger lurks everywhere. The Rams are $5.50 to repeat as NFC champions, despite losing Miller, and you can find the same price on the Packers. The 49ers are also in the mix, and dark horses like the Cowboys, Eagles and Vikings cannot be completely written off.
Winning Conference
This is a straightforward bet on which conference will yield the Super Bowl winner. The NFC leads 29-27 in the head-to-heads after the Rams’ famous victory over Cincinnati in February. However, we make the AFC the $1.75 favourite this time around, while the NFC is the $2.10 underdog.
Division Winners
You can bet on the winner of every division at TopSport. There are some heavy favourites – the Bucs are $1.30 to win the NFC North, the Bills are $1.50 to win the AFC East and the Packers are $1.53 to win the NFC North – but the other five divisions are wide open.
The AFC North looks very competitive. The Ravens finished bottom last season, but they are back to full fitness, so they are the $2.70 favourites. The Bengals are expected to suffer a Super Bowl hangover, and they are priced at $2.92, while the Cleveland Browns are out at $3.15. If Deshaun Watson is only handed a reasonably short suspension, the Browns could be an interesting punt there.
The Tennessee Titans clinched the No. 1 seed last year, but it is the Indianapolis Colts that have emerged as the $1.96 favourites for the AFC South. They brought in Matt Ryan to replace Carson Wentz as QB in the offseason. The Titans are $2.30 to repeat.
The AFC West looks intriguing. The Chiefs are the $2.50 favourites after bringing in JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marques Valdez-Scantling and Skyy Moore to give Patrick Mahomes some new weapons. The Chargers are $3.35, the Broncos are $3.75 and the Las Vegas Raiders are $6.00. It could be the most stacked division in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys are $2.10 to win the NFC East, but they face a stern challenge from the Philadelphia Eagles. The Seahawks are expected to regress this season, but the Rams, 49ers and Cardinals could engage in an entertaining three-horse race in the NFC West.
Regular Season Wins
We offer over / under betting on the number of regular season wins each team will secure. The regular season wins line is determined by how strong each team is expected to be. You will find similar odds on over and under. These are the lines for each team:
- Arizona Cardinals (8.5)
- Atlanta Falcons (4.5)
- Baltimore Ravens (9.5)
- Buffalo Bills (11.5)
- Carolina Panthers (5.5)
- Chicago Bears (6.5)
- Cincinnati Bengals (9.5)
- Cleveland Browns (TBD)
- Dallas Cowboys (10.5)
- Denver Broncos (10.5)
- Detroit Lions (6.5)
- Green Bay Packers (11.5)
- Houston Texans (4.5)
- Indianapolis Colts (9.5)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (6.5)
- Kansas City Chiefs (10.5)
- Las Vegas Raiders (8.5)
Los Angeles Chargers (10.5) - Los Angeles Rams (10.5)
- Miami Dolphins (8.5)
- Minnesota Vikings (8.5)
- New England Patriots (8.5)
- New Orleans Saints (8.5)
- New York Giants (7.5)
- New York Jets (5.5)
- Philadelphia Eagles (9.5)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (7.5)
- San Francisco 49ers (9.5)
- Seattle Seahawks (5.5)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11.5)
- Tennessee Titans (9.5)
- Washington Commanders (7.5)
To Make / Miss the Playoffs
You can bet on any team to miss or make the playoffs. The odds on strong teams like the Bucas, Bills and Packers making the playoffs are short, whereas the odds on weak teams like the Houston Texans are long.
The real intrigue lies in betting on relatively average teams. For example, the Cardinals are $1.90 to make the playoffs, the Vikings and $2.00 and the Saints are $2.25. You will also find $1.82 on the Bengals making the playoffs and $1.85 on the Titans, which is interesting when you consider that the Bengals just went to the Super Bowl and Tennessee was the No. 1 seed.
Regular Season MVP
Aaron Rodgers will bid to be named regular season MVP for the third year in a row. He is priced at $11.00 to pull it off, which would see him equal the feat of predecessor Brett Favre by winning three on the bounce.
Bills QB Josh Allen is the $8.00 favourite, ahead of Mahomes ($9.00) and Brady ($10.00), while Chargers QB Justin Herbert is level with Rodgers at $11.00. All the frontrunners are quarterbacks, as they dominate this award.
Additional Player Futures
We are offering eight additional futures betting markets on the upcoming NFL season. You can bet on the Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year.
Additional markets include Comeback Player of the Year, most passing yards, most receiving yards and most rushing yards. Herbert is the $8.00 favourite to put up the most passing yards, which leaves him ahead of Mahomes and Brady. Cooper Kupp leads the market for the most receiving yards, while Jonathan Taylor edges out Derrick Henry as the favourite to secure the most rushing yards.
Coach of the Year
Nick Siriani of the Philadelphia Eagles has been installed as the $14.00 frontrunner to be named Coach of the Year at the end of the season. He is narrowly ahead of Brandon Staley and Brian Daboll in the betting.
NFL 2022/23 Futures Betting Tips
Cincinnati Bengals to Make the Playoffs – $1.82
Many pundits are expecting a major regression from the Bengals this year. They nearly pulled off one of the greatest underdog stories in NFL history last season, but the dreaded Super Bowl hangover is now tipped to set in. However, important players such as Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase are maturing, while the Bengals have fixed issues in the offensive line during the offseason, so $1.82 on them to simply reach the playoffs looks great value.
Aaron Rodgers to be Named Regular Season MVP – $11.00
Competition is always ferocious for this award, but Rodgers has dominated this in the past two years. He has now lost his most potent weapon, with the Packers trading away All-Pro receiver Davante Adams. However, that will only strengthen the MVP narrative for Rodgers if he leads Green Bay to another strong season, and odds of $11.00 are attractive.
Kansas City Chiefs to Win the Super Bowl – $9.00
The Chiefs rebuilt their receiving corps this offseason. Some fans expect them to struggle as a result, but Mahomes now has an even more talented group to work with. The Chiefs went into the last two seasons as clear Super Bowl favourites and fell short. They are now priced at $9.00, which looks like excellent value on a team led by the indomitable Mahomes, who will relish the opportunity to outgun Allen and the Bills in the postseason.
**Odds quoted are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change.
